In 1973, Larry Williams put his own research to the test.
He'd spent years studying something most traders at the time didn't take seriously… the idea that commodity prices move in recurring patterns tied to the calendar.
Wheat prices behave differently in spring than in autumn… for reasons that have nothing to do with speculation and everything to do with seasonal cycles.
He also discovered the same logic applied across a whole range of commodities.
So Williams built a systematic trading approach around these seasonal tendencies and published the results.
Out of every 8 trades placed using this approach, 7 were winners.
And just 7 trades gave him massive profits of $687,942.
So this wasn’t just a single lucky trade…
It's the accumulated result of a repeatable process… tested across multiple trades… where the pattern held up often enough and by enough margin to be worth following.
A lucky guess wins once and can't explain why…
An edge wins most of the time… and keeps winning when you repeat the process.
This is the same underlying principle behind the S&P 500 and Apple data I’ve already shown you.
Repeatable patterns across decades…
What I'd ask you to take from Williams's example isn't to try and repeat his exact-trades
What's worth taking from it is the underlying principle…
That a money window applied with discipline… can produce results that look almost too good when you first see the number… but are entirely explainable once you understand the process behind them.
That's exactly the kind of process I’ll be showing you on Thursday. Not a single big win to chase, but a repeatable way of identifying when the odds have historically tilted in your favour
Oliver